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Título: | Predicting extreme avalanches in self-organized critical sandpiles |
Autor: | Garber, Anja; Hallerberg, Sarah; Kantz, Holger | Fecha de publicación: | ago-2009 | Editor: | American Physical Society | Citación: | Physical Review E 80: 026124 (2009) | Resumen: | In a finite-size Abelian sandpile model, extreme avalanches are repelling each other. Taking a time series of the avalanche size and using a decision variable derived from that, we predict the occurrence of a particularly large avalanche in the next time step. The larger the magnitude of these target avalanches, the better is their predictability. The predictability which is based on a finite-size effect, is discussed as a function of the system size. | Versión del editor: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.80.026124 | URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/94434 | DOI: | 10.1103/PhysRevE.80.026124 | ISSN: | 1539-3755 | E-ISSN: | 1550-2376 |
Aparece en las colecciones: | (IFCA) Artículos |
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Predicting extreme avalanches.pdf | 135,16 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |
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