Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar a este item:
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/240426
COMPARTIR / EXPORTAR:
SHARE CORE BASE | |
Visualizar otros formatos: MARC | Dublin Core | RDF | ORE | MODS | METS | DIDL | DATACITE | |
Título: | Anatomy of digital contact tracing: Role of age, transmission setting, adoption, and case detection |
Autor: | Moreno López, Jesús A. CSIC ORCID; Arregui García, Beatriz CSIC ORCID; Bentkowski, Piotr; Bioglio, Livio; Pinotti, Francesco; Boëlle, Pierre-Yves; Barrat, Alain; Colizza, Vittoria; Poletto, Chiara | Fecha de publicación: | 7-abr-2021 | Editor: | American Association for the Advancement of Science | Citación: | Science Advance 7(15): eabd8750 (2021) | Resumen: | The efficacy of digital contact tracing against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic is debated: Smartphone penetration is limited in many countries, with low coverage among the elderly, the most vulnerable to COVID-19. We developed an agent-based model to precise the impact of digital contact tracing and household isolation on COVID-19 transmission. The model, calibrated on French population, integrates demographic, contact and epidemiological information to describe exposure and transmission of COVID-19. We explored realistic levels of case detection, app adoption, population immunity, and transmissibility. Assuming a reproductive ratio R = 2.6 and 50% detection of clinical cases, a ~20% app adoption reduces peak incidence by ~35%. With R = 1.7, >30% app adoption lowers the epidemic to manageable levels. Higher coverage among adults, playing a central role in COVID-19 transmission, yields an indirect benefit for the elderly. These results may inform the inclusion of digital contact tracing within a COVID-19 response plan. | Versión del editor: | http://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd8750 | URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/240426 | DOI: | 10.1126/sciadv.abd8750 | E-ISSN: | 2375-2548 |
Aparece en las colecciones: | (PTI Salud Global) Colección Especial COVID-19 (IFISC) Artículos |
Ficheros en este ítem:
Fichero | Descripción | Tamaño | Formato | |
---|---|---|---|---|
digital_contact_tracing.pdf | 829,65 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |
CORE Recommender
PubMed Central
Citations
37
checked on 18-abr-2024
SCOPUSTM
Citations
45
checked on 17-abr-2024
WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations
36
checked on 23-feb-2024
Page view(s)
63
checked on 19-abr-2024
Download(s)
169
checked on 19-abr-2024