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dc.contributor.authorTang, Cindy Q.es_ES
dc.contributor.authorDong, Yi-Feies_ES
dc.contributor.authorHerrando Moraira, Soniaes_ES
dc.contributor.authorMatsui, Tetsuyaes_ES
dc.contributor.authorOhashi, Harukaes_ES
dc.contributor.authorHe, Long-Yuanes_ES
dc.contributor.authorNakao, Katsuhiroes_ES
dc.contributor.authorTanaka, Nobuyukies_ES
dc.contributor.authorTomita, Mizukies_ES
dc.contributor.authorLi, Xiao-Shuanges_ES
dc.contributor.authorYan, Hai-Zhonges_ES
dc.contributor.authorPeng, Ming-Chunes_ES
dc.contributor.authorHu, Junes_ES
dc.contributor.authorYang, Ruo-Hanes_ES
dc.contributor.authorLi, Wang-Junes_ES
dc.contributor.authorYan, Kaies_ES
dc.contributor.authorHou, Xiulies_ES
dc.contributor.authorLópez-Pujol, Jordies_ES
dc.date.accessioned2019-12-16T12:33:44Z-
dc.date.available2019-12-16T12:33:44Z-
dc.date.issued2017-07-26-
dc.identifier.citationXIX International Botanical Congress (2017)es_ES
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10261/196784-
dc.descriptionTrabajo presentado en el XIX International Botanical Congress (IBC 2017), celebrado en Shenzhen (China) del 23 al 29 de julio de 2017es_ES
dc.description.abstractThe conservation and management of Tertiary relict plants will eventually depend on knowledge of their geographic distribution and the environmental changes that threaten them. This study, using species distribution modeling (involving a new approach that allows for uncertainty), predicts the distribution of climatically suitable areas prevailing during the mid-Holocene, the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), and at present, and estimates the potential formation of new habitats in 2070 of the endangered and rare Tertiary relict tree Davidia involucrata Baill. The results regarding the mid-Holocene and the LGM demonstrate that south-central and southwestern China have been long-term stable refugia, and that the current distribution is limited to the prehistoric refugia. Given future distribution under six possible climate scenarios, only some parts of the current range of D. involucrata in the midhigh mountains of south-central and southwestern China would be maintained, while some shift west into higher mountains would occur. Our results show that the predicted suitable area offering high probability (0.5¿1) accounts for an average of only 29.2% among the models predicted for the future (2070), making D. involucrata highly vulnerable. We assess and propose priority protected areas in light of climate change. The information provided will also be relevant in planning conservation of other paleoendemic species having ecological traits and distribution ranges comparable to those of D. involucrata.es_ES
dc.language.isoenges_ES
dc.rightsopenAccesses_ES
dc.titlePotential effects of climate change on geographic distribution of the Tertiary relict tree species Davidia involucrata in Chinaes_ES
dc.typepóster de congresoes_ES
dc.description.peerreviewedPeer reviewedes_ES
dc.relation.csices_ES
oprm.item.hasRevisionno ko 0 false*
dc.contributor.orcidHerrando Moraira, Sonia [0000-0002-0488-5112]es_ES
dc.contributor.orcidLópez-Pujol, Jordi [0000-0002-2091-6222]es_ES
Appears in Collections:(IBB) Comunicaciones congresos
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