Aproximación multidisciplinar al estudio del impacto del cambio climático en las inundaciones para la adaptación del diseño y análisis de seguridad de presas

Abstract

This paper discusses the advances in the development of new data and methods that allow the reconstruction of long series of extreme flood data, and the application of flood analysis tools in conditions of climatic variability (past records and future projections). The work focuses on one case studies located in the Rambla de la Viuda (Maria Cristina Dam), with Mediterranean climate.The aim is to compare the effects of climate change on future extreme floods, with changes in flood frequency laws determined from paleo-­‐grazed and historical data. This methodology aims to improve the impact of climate change on hydrological extremes and their application to the design of sensitive infrastructures, with emphasis on dams. Hydro-­‐ climatic indicators will be estimated using historical, instrumental and climate series data projected with CMIP5 models.