2024-03-29T11:16:56Zhttp://digital.csic.es/dspace-oai/requestoai:digital.csic.es:10261/932032021-08-26T07:13:02Zcom_10261_39226com_10261_8col_10261_42742
DIGITAL.CSIC
author
Peterson, T. C.
author
Alexander, L. V.
author
Allen, M. R.
author
Añel, Juan A.
author
Barriopedro, David
author
Black, M. T.
author
Carey-Smith, T.
author
Castillo, R.
author
Cattiaux, J.
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Chen, X. L.
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Chen, X. Y.
author
Chevallier, M.
author
Christidis, N.
author
Ciavarella, A.
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Vries, H. de
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Dean, S. M.
author
Deans, K.
author
Diffenbaugh, N. S.
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Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.
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Donat, M. G.
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Dong, B.
author
Eilerts, G.
author
Funk, C.
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Galu, G.
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García Herrera, Ricardo
author
Germe, A.
author
Gill, S.
author
Gimeno, Luis
author
Guemas, V.
author
Herring, S. C.
author
Hoell, A.
author
Hoerling, M. P.
author
Huntingford, C.
author
Husak, G.
author
Imada, Y.
author
Ishii, M.
author
Karoly, D. J.
author
Kimoto, M.
author
King, A. D.
author
Knutson, T. R.
author
Lewis, S. C.
author
Lin, R. P.
author
Lyon, Bradfield
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Massey, N.
author
Mazza, E.
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Michaelsen, J.
author
Michaelsen, J.
author
Mori, M.
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Mote, P. W.
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Nieto, Raquel
author
Otto, F. E. L.
author
Park, J.
author
Perkins, S. E.
author
Rosier, S.
author
Rowland, J.
author
Rupp, D. E.
author
Salas y Melia, D.
author
Scherer, M.
author
Shiogama, H.
author
Shukla, S.
author
Song, F. F.
author
Sparrow, S.
author
Stott, Peter A.
author
Sutton, R.
author
Sweet, W.
author
Tett, S. F. B.
author
Trigo, Ricardo M.
author
Oldenborgh, G. J. van
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Westrhenen, R. van
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Verdin, J.
author
Watanabe, M.
author
Wittenberg, A. T.
author
Woollings, Tim
author
Yiou, P.
author
Zeng, F. R.
author
Zervas, C.
author
Zhang, R.
author
Zhou, T. J.
2014-03-07T09:43:05Z
2014-03-07T09:43:05Z
2013-09
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94(9): S1- S74 (2013)
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/93203
10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1
Attribution of extreme events is a challenging science and one that is currently undergoing considerable evolution. In this paper are 19 analyses by 18 different research groups, often using quite different methodologies, of 12 extreme events that occurred in 2012. In addition to investigating the causes of these extreme events, the multiple analyses of four of the events, the high temperatures in the United States, the record low levels of Arctic sea ice, and the heavy rain in northern Europe and eastern Australia, provide an opportunity to compare and contrast the strengths and weaknesses of the various methodologies. The differences also provide insights into the structural uncertainty of event attribution, that is, the uncertainty that arises directly from the differences in analysis methodology. In these cases, there was considerable agreement between the different assessments of the same event. However, different events had very different causes. Approximately half the analyses found some evidence that anthropogenically caused climate change was a contributing factor to the extreme event examined, though the effects of natural fluctuations of weather and climate on the evolution of many of the extreme events played key roles as well.
eng
openAccess
Climate
Clima
Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective
artículo
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URL
https://digital.csic.es/bitstream/10261/93203/1/493614.pdf
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493614.pdf