2024-03-28T16:49:36Zhttp://digital.csic.es/dspace-oai/requestoai:digital.csic.es:10261/210762020-06-02T09:19:05Zcom_10261_75com_10261_6com_10261_65com_10261_8col_10261_328col_10261_318
DIGITAL.CSIC
author
Pueyo, Yolanda
author
BeguerÃa, Santiago
2010-02-15T11:41:59Z
2010-02-15T11:41:59Z
2007-12
Landscape and Urban Planning 83 (4): 245-254 (2007)
0169-2046
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/21076
10.1016/j.landurbplan.2007.04.008
Secondary succession after farmland abandonment has become a common process in north Mediterranean countries, especially in mountain areas. In this paper, a methodology is tested which combines Markov chains and logistic multivariate regression to model secondary succession after farmland abandonment in environments where abiotic constraints play a major role, like mountain areas. In such landscapes, a decay in the succession rate with time is usually found, as the best locations are progressively occupied. This is frequently addressed using non-stationary Markov chains. Here, we test if the combination of logistic multivariate regression with Markov chains, however, allows for spatially distributed transitions probabilities based on abiotic factors and therefore, it is able to reproduce the preferential colonization of the most favourable locations. The model is tested in the Ijuez Valley in the Spanish Pyrenees, which underwent generalized land abandonment during the 1950s. Results confirm a substantial improvement in the prediction success of the Markov-logistic model when compared to the standard Markov chain approach. As a result, the decay in the succession rate can be successfully modelled. The specific results for our study area are discussed further in an ecological context. The methodology proposed is applicable to any landscape where vegetation dynamics are constrained by environmental factors. However, the inclusion of land use as an explanatory factor would be necessary in human-managed landscapes.
eng
openAccess
Environmental constraints
Logistic regression
Markov chains
Pinus sylvestris
Pyrenees
Succession rate
Modelling the rate of secondary succession after farmland abandonment in a Mediterranean mountain area
artÃculo
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
URL
https://digital.csic.es/bitstream/10261/21076/1/BegueriaS_LAUP_2007.pdf
File
MD5
132faab37cb721e52fdbdaea9ac58ed0
1898357
application/pdf
BegueriaS_LAUP_2007.pdf
URL
https://digital.csic.es/bitstream/10261/21076/4/BegueriaS_LAUP_2007.pdf.txt
File
MD5
3b5be17189395723d53b023c698ae81f
53450
text/plain
BegueriaS_LAUP_2007.pdf.txt