Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar a este item:
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/56123
COMPARTIR / EXPORTAR:
SHARE CORE BASE | |
Visualizar otros formatos: MARC | Dublin Core | RDF | ORE | MODS | METS | DIDL | DATACITE | |
Campo DC | Valor | Lengua/Idioma |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Kyselý, Jan | - |
dc.contributor.author | Beguería, Santiago | - |
dc.contributor.author | Beranová, Romana | - |
dc.contributor.author | Gaál, Ladislav | - |
dc.contributor.author | López-Moreno, Juan I. | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2012-09-12T07:52:19Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2012-09-12T07:52:19Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2012-12 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Kyselý J, Beguería S, Beranová R, Gaál L, López-Moreno JI. Different patterns of climate change scenarios for short-term and multi-day precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean. Global and Planetary Change 98-99: 63-72 (2012) | es_ES |
dc.identifier.issn | 0921-8181 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/56123 | - |
dc.description | 30 Pags., 2 Tabls., 10 Figs. The definitive version is available at: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09218181 | es_ES |
dc.description.abstract | The study examines climate change scenarios of precipitation extremes over the western, central and part of the eastern Mediterranean region for the late 21st century (2070–99) in an ensemble of high-resolution regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the ENSEMBLES project. Precipitation extremes are considered at a wide range of time scales from hourly to multi-day amounts and in individual seasons (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON). We focus on (1) the dependence of the results on the time scale of precipitation aggregation, (2) seasonal differences, (3) uncertainties of the scenarios related to differences amongst the RCM simulations, and (iv) identification of regions and seasons in which the projected changes in precipitation extremes are particularly large and/or robust in the RCM ensemble. The examined ensemble of RCM simulations captures basic precipitation patterns for the recent climate (1961–90), including seasonal changes. Climate change scenarios for the late 21st century differ substantially for short-term (hourly) and multi-day (5-day and 15-day) precipitation extremes, mainly in the western Mediterranean. Projected increases in short-term extremes exceed those of daily and multi-day extremes, and occur even in regions and seasons in which mean precipitation is projected to decline. This change in the patterns of extreme precipitation may have important hydrological consequences, with increases in the severity of flash floods in a warmer climate in spite of the overall drying projected for the region. However, uncertainty of the scenarios of precipitation extremes related to within-ensemble variability is large. Consistency of the projected changes amongst the RCMs is highest in winter and lowest in summer, and generally it is higher for short-term than multi-day extremes. | es_ES |
dc.description.sponsorship | The study was supported by the Czech Science Foundation under project P209/10/2265 and by CGL2011–24185 financed by the Spanish Commission of Science and Technology (CICYT) and FEDER. Parts of the work were carried out during the stay of the first author at Estación Experimental de Aula Dei, Zaragoza, Spain, funded by Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC) and the Czech Science Foundation. The research team benefited also through interactions and support within the KLIMATEXT project (CZ.1.07/2.3.00/20.0086) funded by the European Social Fund, and Grupo de Excelencia E68 financed by the Aragón Government and FEDER. The RCM and E-OBS data were produced by the EU-FP6 project ENSEMBLES (contract number 505539). | es_ES |
dc.language.iso | eng | es_ES |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | es_ES |
dc.rights | openAccess | es_ES |
dc.subject | Climate change | es_ES |
dc.subject | precipitation extremes | es_ES |
dc.subject | regional climate models | es_ES |
dc.subject | extreme value analysis | es_ES |
dc.title | Different patterns of climate change scenarios for short-term and multi-day precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean | es_ES |
dc.type | artículo | es_ES |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.06.010 | - |
dc.description.peerreviewed | Peer reviewed | es_ES |
dc.relation.publisherversion | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.06.010 | es_ES |
dc.type.coar | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | es_ES |
item.openairetype | artículo | - |
item.grantfulltext | open | - |
item.cerifentitytype | Publications | - |
item.openairecristype | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf | - |
item.fulltext | With Fulltext | - |
item.languageiso639-1 | en | - |
Aparece en las colecciones: | (EEAD) Artículos (IPE) Artículos |
Ficheros en este ítem:
Fichero | Descripción | Tamaño | Formato | |
---|---|---|---|---|
BegueriaS_GlobPlanetChang_2012.pdf | 735,98 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |
CORE Recommender
SCOPUSTM
Citations
47
checked on 27-mar-2024
WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations
43
checked on 26-feb-2024
Page view(s)
488
checked on 22-abr-2024
Download(s)
385
checked on 22-abr-2024
Google ScholarTM
Check
Altmetric
Altmetric
NOTA: Los ítems de Digital.CSIC están protegidos por copyright, con todos los derechos reservados, a menos que se indique lo contrario.