Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar a este item:
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/219562
COMPARTIR / EXPORTAR:
SHARE CORE BASE | |
Visualizar otros formatos: MARC | Dublin Core | RDF | ORE | MODS | METS | DIDL | DATACITE | |
Título: | COVID-19 effective reproduction number dropped during Spain's nationwide dropdown, then spiked at lower-incidence regions |
Autor: | Santamaría, Luis CSIC ORCID; Hortal, Joaquín CSIC ORCID | Palabras clave: | COVID-19 Spain Regional variation Rt Policy responses Lockdown De-escalation |
Fecha de publicación: | 9-sep-2020 | Editor: | Elsevier BV | Citación: | Science of the Total Environment 142257 (2020) | Resumen: | COVID-19 pandemic has rapidly spread worldwide. Spain has suffered one of the largest nationwide bursts, particularly in the highly populated areas of Madrid and Barcelona (two of the five largest conurbations in Europe). We used segmented regression analyses to identify shifts in the evolution of the effective reproduction number (Rt) reported for 16 Spanish administrative regions. We associate these breaking points with a timeline of key containment measures taken by national and regional governments, applying time lags for the time from contagion to case detection, with their associated errors. Results show an early decrease of Rt that preceded the nationwide lockdown; a generalized, sharp decrease in Rt associated with such lockdown; a low impact of the strengthened lockdown, with a flattening of Rt evolution in high-incidence regions, and even increases in Rt at low-incidence regions; and an increase in Rt associated to the relaxation of the lockdown measures in ten regions. These results evidence the importance of generalized lockdown measures to contain COVID-19 spread, and the limited effect of the subsequent application of a stricter lockdown (restrictions to all non-essential economic activities). Most importantly, they highlight the importance of maintaining strong social distancing measures and strengthening public health control during lockdown de-escalation. | Versión del editor: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142257 | URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/219562 | DOI: | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142257 | ISSN: | 0048-9697 | E-ISSN: | 1879-1026 |
Aparece en las colecciones: | (PTI Salud Global) Colección Especial COVID-19 (MNCN) Artículos (EBD) Artículos |
Ficheros en este ítem:
Fichero | Descripción | Tamaño | Formato | |
---|---|---|---|---|
COVID19 effective reproduction number dropped.pdf | 5,41 MB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |
CORE Recommender
PubMed Central
Citations
22
checked on 06-abr-2024
SCOPUSTM
Citations
25
checked on 19-abr-2024
WEB OF SCIENCETM
Citations
23
checked on 26-feb-2024
Page view(s)
215
checked on 22-abr-2024
Download(s)
389
checked on 22-abr-2024
Google ScholarTM
Check
Altmetric
Altmetric
Artículos relacionados:
NOTA: Los ítems de Digital.CSIC están protegidos por copyright, con todos los derechos reservados, a menos que se indique lo contrario.